← Kobold's Keep RDO Store Championship

Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Kobold's Keep RDO Store Championship

decks
2 (20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.6% avg ELO +8.1 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1177 · median 1177 · range 1155–1199 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1122 Q1 1166 Q3 1211 1430
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aetherwing 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.6% +20.2
Fire Exia 10.0% 0
Fire Suited 10.0% 0
Water Aetherwing 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.7% -5.2
Water Astra Diana 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.4% +13.4
Water Genbu 10.0% 0
Water Neos 10.0% 0
Wind Slimes 10.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.4% +3.9
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Polaris, Twinkling Cauldron -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Tend the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Floral Arrangement -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Gyre +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Three Visits -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Distilled Water +1.00 1 0 0
Galestream Insight -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/51814/archetypes/Wind Razorgale